São Paulo vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLU
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 2
RBB
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 1
AMF
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COR
4 - 0
RBB
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 3
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 2
RBB
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |