São Paulo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 1
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 2
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
ONC
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 2
FFL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
PPE
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |