São Paulo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 4
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
CEA
2 - 4
SAO
18%
22%
61%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
VAS
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
TAC
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
AME
2 - 1
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |