São Paulo vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAO
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
SAO
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
4 - 0
AUD
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
COR
20%
28%
53%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
AUD
2 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
XVD
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |