São Paulo vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 1
CRZ
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAY
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |