São Paulo vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
COM
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 3
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 1
CAT
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
PAU
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |