São Paulo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 1
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MOG
1 - 2
SAO
11%
19%
70%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
QUI
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 2
GOI
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
COT
3 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
4 - 4
CAM
84%
12%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIO
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
CIA
1 - 1
PAR
16%
22%
63%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |