São Paulo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAO
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAO
23%
24%
54%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
6 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |