São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
72%
18%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 5
SCI
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
PAL
14%
24%
63%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
PAL
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
TIG
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOT
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |