Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-1
São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
SAO
3 - 1
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
SAO
3 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
REM
0 - 1
SAO
36%
30%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 1
CEA
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1994 |
CEA
0 - 0
PAL
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
4 - 1
VEL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
BOC
2 - 1
PAL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |