São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
RIO
2 - 4
SAO
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
47%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
RIO
0 - 4
PAL
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
OPE
1 - 0
PAL
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
PAL
4 - 3
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |