São Paulo vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 3
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 5
ONC
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CUC
1 - 0
ONC
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ONC
1 - 0
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |