Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-1
São Paulo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
20%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
BSC
2 - 0
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
SAO
3 - 0
BSC
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
NOB
2 - 0
TAL
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1992 |
EST
1 - 0
NOB
33%
33%
34%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
AME
1 - 1
NOB
48%
30%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 1
AME
53%
26%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |