Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-0
São Paulo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
25.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1992 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
50%
28%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
53%
28%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
GOI
1 - 1
SAO
43%
29%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
0 - 1
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
53%
28%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 3
DEF
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |