São Paulo vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITU
2 - 4
SAO
13%
21%
67%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAT
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
IAC
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 2
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 2
MOG
36%
23%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
MOG
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOG
3 - 1
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +2 |