São Paulo vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
3 - 3
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |