São Paulo vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 3
SAO
26%
21%
53%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 1
ATP
50%
23%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 2
FFL
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
GOI
3 - 0
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
SAP
0 - 3
LIV
10%
19%
70%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
54%
26%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
CHL
0 - 0
LIV
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
WIG
61%
24%
15%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |