São Paulo vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIG
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIG
0 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LIG
2 - 3
NUB
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |