São Paulo vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
19%
26%
54%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BIN
2 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
PPE
67%
22%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OES
0 - 4
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
LIG
3 - 0
RIV
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIG
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 3
IVT
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CUE
1 - 2
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |