São Paulo vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
FFL
4 - 3
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
SCI
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 2
FFL
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |