Copa Libertadores Final
Global 3-4
São Paulo vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 4
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 3
SAO
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
SCI
43%
26%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
LIB
59%
25%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
62%
22%
15%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SCI
0 - 0
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |