Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-3
São Paulo vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 4
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ATP
4 - 2
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
FOR
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SCI
4 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 1
SCI
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 2
SCI
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 0
COR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |