São Paulo vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1972 |
SAO
1 - 1
BSC
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
BSC
0 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1972 |
CCP
3 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1972 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
IND
1 - 0
BOC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1972 |
IND
1 - 0
BSC
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
CEN
6 - 0
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
IND
1 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
HUR
1 - 1
IND
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |