Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 5-0
São Paulo vs Independente AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
IAC
0 - 1
SAO
8%
16%
76%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
XVD
0 - 1
SAO
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 0
GUA
78%
16%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 3
SAO
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
IAC
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
IAC
0 - 1
SAO
8%
16%
76%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IAC
2 - 0
CAM
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 3
IAC
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
PAY
3 - 3
IAC
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |