São Paulo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 2
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1987 |
SAO
2 - 1
COB
86%
9%
4%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1987 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
GUA
3 - 3
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1987 |
GUA
0 - 0
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
GUA
0 - 0
COB
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1987 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
GUA
3 - 3
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |