São Paulo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SCI
2 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SAO
0 - 1
JUV
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 3
SAO
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAO
19%
21%
61%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 0
POR
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 2
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
3 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
GRE
3 - 2
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |