São Paulo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
SAO
4 - 3
SPO
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
PPE
1 - 3
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
SAO
4 - 2
XVD
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
AME
0 - 0
SAO
39%
29%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
XVD
0 - 1
GRE
16%
22%
62%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 3
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |