Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-0
São Paulo vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
GOI
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 0
GOI
24%
28%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 2
CHA
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 1
AMF
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |