São Paulo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
RAC
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 0
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 3
FLU
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
FLU
75%
15%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
JUN
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |