São Paulo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 2
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
CRZ
0 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
SAO
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
GOI
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLU
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLU
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |