Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 3
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 2
SAO
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 3
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAO
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATL
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 2
SAO
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
4 - 0
FLA
23%
23%
55%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATP
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAO
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |