Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1993 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
4 - 0
NOB
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
4 - 3
SER
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
MIN
0 - 1
FLA
5%
16%
80%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
8 - 2
MIN
92%
6%
2%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 0
PAY
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1993 |
PAY
3 - 2
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |