Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-0
São Paulo vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
21.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
25.1%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
13.3%
2.8%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
PEN
79%
16%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAO
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 3
SAO
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
CSA
0 - 3
ASA
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CSE
2 - 0
CSA
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
3 - 0
CDV
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
CSA
2 - 2
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |