Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
São Paulo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
5 - 0
LIN
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
DYJ
0 - 0
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
DEM
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
UBE
2 - 2
CRZ
12%
22%
66%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 0
CRZ
16%
26%
58%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |