São Paulo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 2
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
BAH
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
CRZ
5 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CRZ
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SCI
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |