São Paulo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 1
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 0
STR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2005 |
PAU
3 - 1
CRZ
26%
23%
50%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
CRZ
5 - 0
BAR
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GOI
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAR
3 - 7
CRZ
10%
19%
72%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |