São Paulo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 3
GUA
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRI
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
GOI
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
ATP
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
SAO
40%
30%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 1
COT
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
COT
2 - 0
FLU
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |