São Paulo vs Coritiba analysis

São Paulo Coritiba
84 ELO 79
10% Tilt 17.7%
59º General ELO ranking 316º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
62.8%
São Paulo
20.8%
Draw
16.4%
Coritiba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
São Paulo
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.4%
Win probability
Coritiba
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
+3%
+2%
Coritiba

ELO progression

São Paulo
Coritiba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2002
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 3
São Paulo
SAO
37%
25%
38%
83 79 4 0
02 Oct. 2002
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
46%
23%
31%
83 81 2 0
29 Sep. 2002
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
Corinthians
COR
55%
23%
23%
84 82 2 -1
25 Sep. 2002
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
52%
23%
25%
84 83 1 0
22 Sep. 2002
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
45%
24%
32%
84 83 1 0

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2002
SAO
São Caetano
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
59%
22%
20%
80 82 2 0
26 Sep. 2002
COT
Coritiba
2 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
48%
25%
27%
80 79 1 0
21 Sep. 2002
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Coritiba
COT
46%
25%
29%
79 76 3 +1
18 Sep. 2002
PAY
Paysandu
1 - 1
Coritiba
COT
29%
27%
44%
79 68 11 0
15 Sep. 2002
COT
Coritiba
3 - 1
Goiás EC
GOI
51%
25%
24%
79 78 1 0
X