São Paulo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 1
AGU
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 1
VEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 2
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 3
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |