Paulista A1 Final
Global 1-2
São Paulo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAL
24%
28%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITU
73%
19%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
CEA
59%
25%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
67%
22%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
COR
24%
28%
48%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |