São Paulo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
29%
44%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOC
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
FFL
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 2
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
COR
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 2
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |