São Paulo vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
5%
12%
83%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CFC
1 - 2
SAO
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
52%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 0
MOG
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SAO
5 - 1
PAU
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 0
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CIE
3 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIE
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 1
CHI
43%
24%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |