São Paulo vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAO
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
72%
18%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 5
SCI
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 2
ATP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 4
CEA
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |