São Paulo vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 0
CHA
55%
26%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 2
SAO
72%
20%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CEA
4 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAL
15%
25%
60%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |