São Paulo vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
17%
20%
63%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
54%
22%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
CFC
0 - 0
CHI
37%
25%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TRU
0 - 2
CFC
32%
26%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
CFC
4 - 0
CIE
48%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |