Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-1
São Paulo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
1 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BOT
4 - 0
SAO
38%
30%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1994 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATM
71%
20%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAO
46%
30%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
BAN
1 - 1
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
1 - 0
SAO
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
3 - 2
ARG
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1994 |
VEL
2 - 1
JUN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1994 |
CEN
3 - 1
VEL
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |