São Paulo vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 6
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
PPE
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 2
GOI
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
ATP
4 - 0
BRA
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 3
FLA
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |