São Paulo vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 3
SAO
19%
25%
57%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAO
13%
24%
63%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
NOV
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
82%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
44%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
COR
19%
29%
51%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |