São Paulo vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
AMF
65%
23%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
AVA
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
MIR
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 4
LIN
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |