São Paulo vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COR
4 - 3
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
MOG
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
SER
69%
17%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAN
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAU
1 - 0
BOT
31%
25%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
OES
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 1
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |